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Skepticism Mounts About the Next Fed Rate Hike

“The market is once again second-guessing whether the Federal Reserve can lift rates again this year” writes Ben Eisen for wsj.com. The yield on the two-year Treasury note, which tends to rise alongside expectations for interest rate increases, fell to 1.29% from its early-July level of 1.41%, the highest since 2008. In the fed funds futures market, where traders wager […].  Source: wsj.com Share This:

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Policy Daily Review August 14, 2017

Policy Daily Review for August 14, 2017 US Dollar Torn Between Geopolitical Fears, Fed Policy Bets The US Dollar is torn between the influence of Fed policy speculation and geopolitical risk as key economic news prints against a backdrop of fiery   ARGENTINA: Government Cuts Import Taxes To Oil Industry Equipment The Argentinean government zeroed the capital goods import tariff for the most critical equipment used by the oil industry. Other equipment related to the oil sector will pay a 7% import tax.   Have a nice trading! Share This:

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Markets News Regulators Stocks 

Stocks rise for the first time in 4 days after tame inflation data

“U.S. equities edged higher Friday as weak inflation data encouraged investors that the Federal Reserve will keep monetary policy lower for longer” writes Brendan Mcdermid for cnbc.com. “I’m not sure that the market believes that the Fed won’t do anything to the balance sheet.”. “Because the numbers came in lower, the market saw that as an indication that the Fed won’t raise rates in September,” said Robert Pavlik, chief market strategist at Boston Private. Source: cnbc.com Share This:

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Worrying about the bond-market bubble is ‘old guy’ thinking

“With the Federal Reserve now beginning to increase rates again, those memories are coming flooding back to the bond market” writes Chief Of Operations for cnbc.com. The average bond market pundit either lived through the 1970’s and 1980’s, when interest rates spiked to unprecedented levels, or was mentored by folks who did. Source: cnbc.com Share This:

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Markets to Fed: Little chance of another rate hike this year

“Inflation is the missing ingredient that would put the Fed on a convincing path to raise interest rates” writes Patti Domm for cnbc.com. New York Fed President William Dudley said Thursday that inflation should pick up and that the Fed was still on track to raise interest rates.Stocks moved higher after the inflation report, though markets remain under pressure due to tensions between the U.S. and North Korea.The already skeptical markets now give the Federal Reserve just a 1-in-3 chance of hiking interest rates in December, after a fifth weak…

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Policy Daily Review August 11, 2017

Policy Daily Review for August 11, 2017 Retail apocalypse continues at department stores Macy’s, Kohl’s and Dillard’s all reported drops in a key measure of sales during their latest quarter. Consumers are still shunning these department stores in favor of Amazon, Walmart and other bargain retailers.   Webinar: Central Bank Weekly: RBNZ Hits NZD; What’s Next from ECB & Fed for EUR & USD?: 8/10/17 DailyFX Senior Currency Strategist Christopher Vecchio discusses the major central banks’ monetary policies and their implications for FX markets over the ne…   Have a…

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Treasury yields tick lower as investors look ahead to inflation report

“The 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, +0.35% edged lower 2 basis points to 2.191%, from 2.211% in the previous session” writes Sunny Oh for marketwatch.com. Amid weakness in inflation data, market participants have shown concerns that a further rate increase could result in a policy misstep, and inadvertently slow down the economy.Investors will brace for a release of consumer-price inflation data (CPI) that could clarify how much the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary conditions.Treasury yields extended their three-day decline on Friday ahead of inflation numbers that could aid the case for…

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Fed’s Dudley says 2% inflation target will remain elusive even if price pressures pick up

“The outlook for inflation seems to be the critical factor in assessing whether the Fed will continue to gradually raise interest rates” writes Senior Economics Reporter for marketwatch.com. He said he wanted the central bank to hold interest rates steady.Louis Fed President James Bullard said this week he did not expect inflation would accelerate.Dudley predicted the tight labor market combined with the weaker dollar should begin to foster upward inflation pressure soon.See: Here’s what Chicago Fed President thinks about the economy and interest rates And, St. Source: marketwatch.com Share This:

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Janet Yellen is getting the wrong message from a stubborn soft spot in the job market

“But black and Hispanic participation have shown distinct gains over the last couple of years, as the labour market tightened further” writes Pedro Nicolaci Da for businessinsider.com.au. However, a recent rise in the participation rates of black and Hispanic workers, who are disproportionately hurt during economic downturns, suggests Fed officials are wrong.Published in 2014, it claimed that “much — but not all — of the decline in the labour force participation rate since 2007 is structural in nature.A shrunken US workforce, now close to its smallest size since the 1970s,…

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Policy Daily Review August 10, 2017

Policy Daily Review for August 10, 2017 VENEZUELA: Americas’ Foreign Ministers Condemn Constituent Assembly Foreign ministers from 12 countries in the Americas and the Caribbean condemned the National Constituent Assembly (ANC) in Venezuela and deemed it as a “breach of the democratic order” in the country, according to a joint statement released by Peru’s Foreign Ministry after a meeting held yesterday in Lima.   Have a nice trading! Share This:

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